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Who knew?

SanDisk Cruzer Micro Flashdrive

This morning I learned that this device:


withstands the full wash-cycle (on ‘colors‘ setting) of the GE WSXH208A then the 50 minute dry-cycle (on ‘permanent press‘) of the GE DSXH47EGWW and still functions at full, or possibly improved, capacity (i.e. terminals cleaned of pocket lint).


Spandau” (…in no way related to ballet, or: “Hitler’s Zipper“)

“…

One of the weapon’s most noted features was its comparatively high rate of fire of about 1,200 rounds per minute, twice the rate of the British Vickers machine gun and American Browning at 600 round/min. At such a high rate the human ear cannot easily discern the sound of individual bullets being fired, and in use the gun makes a sound described as like “ripping cloth” and giving rise to the nickname “Hitler’s buzzsaw”, or, more coarsely, “Hitler’s zipper” (Soviet soldiers called it the “linoleum ripper”). German soldiers called it Hitlersäge (“Hitler’s saw”) or “Bonesaw”. The gun was sometimes called “Spandau” by British troops from the manufacturer’s plates noting the district of Berlin where some were produced, much like the Germans’ own World War I Maschinengewehr 08 had been nicknamed. Notwithstanding the MG42’s high rate of fire, the Handbook of the German Army (1940) forbade the firing of more than 250 rounds in a single burst and indicated a sustained rate of no more than 300–350 rounds per minute to minimize barrel wear and over-heating. So distinct and terrifying was the weapon, that the United States Army created training films to aid its soldiers in dealing with the psychological trauma of facing the weapon in battle.

…”

– Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MG-42)
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Paradigm Shift?

Went to Queen Anne to code yesterday.  Queen Anne only because it is a neighborhood in Seattle I usually try to avoid.

All locally-owned coffee shops were too busy and Starbucks had several tables adjacent electrical outlets.  Taking one for the team–the team being me and my laptop–I stayed.

[Statement here about clientele exactly fitting my constructed Starbucks-customer stereotype (i.e. self-absorbed, overpaid, “professionals”) and how background music was selected to be noticeable but not offending to the privileged-liberal ear.]

Setting up at a table beside a window beside the sidewalk beside an important Queen Anne arterial, a glint of light strafed my eye.  Tiny blue cubes bounced on the sidewalk outside.  Looking up I see the lower half of a man’s body, his upper half bent over inside the newly-formed passenger side cavity of a late model SUV.  A half second later he emerged and jumped into the backseat of a blue Volvo waiting in the next parking space.  It sped off, traffic miraculously absent.

The vehicle’s owner, Starbucks-frequenter-extraordinaire, materialized from the cafe, vanilla latte in hand, let out a whoop, and promptly called the cops (via an iPhone of some random gawker-samaritan happening by).  Two cops, complete with semi-automatic handguns, billy clubs, mace and many other beltable tools, arrived on their nifty bikes.

Cops and female victim swept up the autoglass into a 2 quart cardboard Starbucks Coffee-On-the-Go® container.  Statements were made and taken.  Eavesdropping revealed the woman’s purse was stolen though I could see her fat card-containing wallet in hand; she obviously had to pay for her latte.

She drove off, probably in search of an autoglass shop.  The whole episode probably not much more than an inconvenience for her I’m sure.

If anyone has disdain for “sanctity of property”, and other bullshit along those lines, it is I.  Still, those crooks were seasoned thieves.  They could be using their able bodies to work, not rippin’-and-runnin’.  Pissed me off it did.

Perhaps middle age conservatism is starting to set in.

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Theory

“Whoa, have we met before?  You look familiar…” I often get from people on meeting them.

Until a week ago, I figured mine was just one of those faces.

Driving home on Lake City Way last week I saw this:

[Actually, the billboard depicted here resides in Massachusetts.  Stole this pic I did from the live journal page: Run humans run which, incidentally, I recommend you check out.]

If I were to guess how I’d look in 30 years, this would be it.  Of course, I doubt I will look so jolly nor do I expect to be practicing “the most stultifyingly oppressive brand of Christianity ever known to man.”  America (The Book) pg. 18, 2004 Warner Books.

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Those that can’t do…

Recently, my mom told me that I cannot bear to leave something un-understood if I, myself, understand that thing.  Introspection never revealed to me this tendency so I dismissed her observation as a product of mother-bias.

Frustrated, frazzled and frantic, a student emailed me for help on his final project that he must present tomorrow.  I agreed to help him; it is my job as TA after all.  Back and forth we went for two and a half hours this afternoon, I not understanding his project any better than he.  Invertebrate phototransduction cascades and Jack-shit were identical phenomena to my knowledge.

I persevered out of pride.  Precious few math/physics problems have defeated me and this PoS I would not add to that list.

Using a basic enzyme-substrate reaction detailed in one of my textbooks, I deduced how differential equations can be derived from chemical ones so as to model reaction kinetics.  We then used this recipe to write the specific set of diff. eqs. for the student’s transduction diagram/nightmare.  The model was simplified–several nonessential intermediate reactions we ignored out of not-giving-a-shit–but all core players were included.

Vindicated we felt when the model generated expected phototransduction kinetics coarsely, but to reasonable accuracy.  I spent 20 minutes thoroughly explaining the equations, and how they were derived, so the student could further explore and fine-tune the model tonight (and he had better).

He left happy and satisfied.  So did I.

If my research gig doesn’t pan out, I guess I can make myself useful teaching. 

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One Year of Doom and Gloom

What follows are quotes I’ve extracted from the March 23, 2008 New York Times article Depression, You Say? Check Those Safety Nets, by Charles Duhigg. These I have categorized under “Then”. Quotes concerning the same issues “Now” I have selected from yesterday’s New York Times opinion article This Is Not a Test. This Is Not a Test. by op-ed columnist Thomas L. Friedman.

Then:

Well, the economists are here to say that you can dig up the family silver and stop training the kids how to jump onto a moving train. While many who study the nation’s economic health agree that a recession has probably already begun, and that it may be long and severe, they also say the odds of a full-blown depression are almost nonexistent.


…the distinction between a recession (a significant decline in economic activity that lasts more than a few months) and a depression (a decline that is much longer and deeper)…

Now:

But I am deeply worried that our political system doesn’t grasp how much our financial crisis can still undermine everything we want to be as a country. Friends, this is not a test. Economically, this is the big one. This is August 1914. This is the morning after Pearl Harbor. This is 9/12.

Then:

Even if consumer confidence hit rock bottom, that most likely would not be enough, by itself, to cause a depression. For things to become really dire, the nation’s financial institutions would have to fail at the same time that unemployment began significantly rising. Only if banks suddenly closed, or it became impossible for companies to access short-term lines of credit, would things begin spiraling out of control.

Now:

Our country has congestive heart failure. Our heart, our banking system that pumps blood to our industrial muscles, is clogged and functioning far below capacity. Nothing else remotely compares in importance to the urgent need to heal our banks.

Then:

But in the wake of the Great Depression, American policy makers began actively managing the economy with a handful of tools, including adjusting interest rates and using massive government spending to spur growth.

Now:

This crisis is uniquely difficult in four respects:

First, to get out of a crisis like this you need to let markets clear. You need to let failed companies, or homeowners, go bankrupt, unlock their dead capital and reapply it to thriving entities. …The problem with this crisis is that A.I.G., Citigroup and General Motors — and your neighbor’s subprime mortgage — are not [Dogfood-dot-com]. You let the market clear them away, and we could all be wiped out with them.

Second, we need to get a market going that would bring fair value and clarity to the “toxic mortgages” crippling the balance sheets of our major banks. This will likely require some degree of government subsidy to private equity groups and hedge funds…

Unfortunately, the president may have to look the American people in the eye and explain that “fairness is not on the menu anymore.” All that’s on the menu now is whether or not we avoid a system meltdown — and this will require rewarding some new investors.

Third, the president may have to make some trillion-dollar decisions — like nationalizing major banks or doubling the economic stimulus — with no real precedent and without knowing all the long-term ramifications.

Finally, to do all this, the president has to make us realize how dangerous a moment we’re in, without creating a panic that will prompt Americans to put every dime in their mattresses and undermine the economy even more.

I wish earned my pay and prestige wrongly predicting outcomes of a complicated multi-variate system that nobody fully understands. My windbaggery is on par with these two.

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Somebody needs to mature-the-@&%#-up!

 

PS:  If you’re thinking of hacking into my bank account, go for it.  It won’t be worth your effort!

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Bored (or: Would Rather Cut and Paste Than Type)

This might take a couple minutes to load…apologies.

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I really need to get out more

Wracking my brain for something semi-interesting to post this week—anything really—I decided to model the baseball metaphor of sexual intimacy using a Markovian random walk algorithm. Since all I do is work these days [whine], work-related subject matter is all I’ve got to write about (Markov models being work-related, not sexual intimacy).

According to Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baseball_metaphors_for_sex) what follows are broadly accepted descriptions of each metaphorical base:

First base:…………………………………………………….mouth-to-mouth kissing
Second base:…………………………………………………groping underneath shirt
Third base:……………………………………………………mutual masturbation
Home (after rounding the bases):…………………….sexual intercourse

The Model. Dude has a 50/50 chance of making it to the next base on any given “play”. If he succeeds, he either continues to next base in the sequence—where he must then make another play—or he “scores” if his successful play is from 3rd. If a play toward any of the bases fails, he’s out, meaning: he must “bat” again with some new chick and attempt to round the bases starting from scratch. The matrix below captures this scenario in its entirety. It operates on dude’s current state-vector (representing the base he “occupies”) to determine his probability of making the next base in the sequence.

Transition probability matrix (“LayMatrix” in routine below):

Results. Based on this model, the half-successful dude should expect to make exactly TWENTY-NINE total plays to score. In the course of these 29 plays, he fails or “outs” with an average of 15 girls on the way to scoring with one.

Discussion. You’re probably saying to yourself: “Thug, was high school prom the last time you “scored”? Chance probability of success for each play is not realistic.” For those of us single in our third-decade-of-life-and-then-some, a more realistic progression matrix might be:

For this model (LayMatrix2), dude need only commit an expected 19-20 plays to attain score-status; though he should expect to fail with a chance-comparable 14 girls in the process. In this scenario, most failures occur trying to reach first base.

Comparing outcomes predicted by the two models, dude should score with fewer plays than chance under the “more realistic” model but will strike out with almost the same number of chicks. These models assume chicks’ acceptances of dudes’ advances obey Markovian point-process statistics (i.e. chick will accept or reject a dude’s play independent of his record of previous plays). My limited experience agrees. How else could so many ass-douches strut around with such fine wool.

Covering my ass. For those in doubt:

z0 = [1, 0, 0, 0, 0]’; % Initial state vector: at bat at home plate

LayMatrix = [0.5, 0.5, 0, 0, 0; 0.5, 0, 0.5, 0, 0; 0.5, 0, 0, 0.5, 0; 0.5, 0, 0, 0, 0.5; 0, 0, 0, 0, 1];
LayMatrix2 = [0.8, 0.2, 0, 0, 0; 0.5, 0, 0.5, 0, 0; 0.3, 0, 0, 0.7, 0; 0.05, 0, 0, 0, 0.95; 0, 0, 0, 0, 1];

ScoreProgressionStructAge18 = CalcExpectedNumTrialsToLay(LayMatrix,z0,500)
ScoreProgressionStructAge31 = CalcExpectedNumTrialsToLay(LayMatrix2,z0,500)

function OutputStruct = CalcExpectedNumTrialsToLay(LayTransProbMatrix,s0,nCeiling)

CumProbVecOfScoring = NaN*ones([1,nCeiling]);
CumProbVecOfFailing = NaN*ones([1,nCeiling]);
nVec = 1:(nCeiling-1);

T = LayTransProbMatrix’;

[eigVecs eigVals] = eig(T);

for i = 1:nCeiling

sNext = real(eigVecs*(eigVals.^i)*inv(eigVecs))*s0;
CumProbVecOfScoring(i) = sNext(end);
CumProbVecOfFailing(i) = 1-sNext(1);

end

ExpectedNumTrialsToScore = sum(nVec.*diff(CumProbVecOfScoring));
ExpectedNumTrialsToFail = sum(nVec.*diff(CumProbVecOfFailing));

OutputStruct.CumProbVecOfScoring = CumProbVecOfScoring;
OutputStruct.CumProbVecOfFailing = CumProbVecOfFailing;
OutputStruct.ExpectedNumTrialsToScore = ExpectedNumTrialsToScore;
OutputStruct.ExpectedNumTrialsToFail = ExpectedNumTrialsToFail;

end

ERRATUM: Expected number of girls with whom dude should expect to fail on way to scoring should be reduced by 1 for both models (i.e. from 15 to 14 in the “chance” model and from 14 to 13 in the “realistic”). True to ‘tard-dom, yours truly included dude’s success-girl in each of the above failure counts.

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On Shmoozing

Bigwigs from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) toured/inspected our lab yesterday.  Specifically, the ones who have written the checks that have kept our lab labbin’-it-up for year and years.  Yesterday morning I got frenzied instructions to set up my experiment by tour time to demonstrate an example of our lab’s research (or more accurately: to show off how sick our stunts are).  

I did. 

Everything fell into place perfectly (in contrast to every other shit-hit-fan demo I’ve attempted).  Boss and sub-boss sauntered in and talked polished talk as monk remained engrossed in his neuronally-controlled video game. The visitors nodded feign-interestedly when bosses described my experiment as if they themselves had set up and run it.   It could not have gone better… for my bosses. 

To the visitors, boss said: “this is Ryan Eaton, a grad student here in the lab”.  He then patronized “shake hands Ryan…  now nevermind us, we know you’re busy”.  And before I got the chance to utter anything awkward or embarrassing, bosses continued their carefully-scripted orations.  Nodded and smiled they did at everything these business-suited big-cheeses said, no matter how ludicrous.

Eventually the group headed downstairs for a more “official” discussion.  I remained up in the lab, doing what I do best: the grunt work.  Following the meeting between the bigwigs and just about all other lab personnel but me, I was informed that my project was the subject of much interest and discussion. 

Maybe someday, when I learn to make nice and talk pretty, I can sit at the grown-up table and actually get the opportunity to speak for myself.

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Mr. Suave Part III: Call Me Some Existential Detectives

Office personnel laugh, yell and swear loudly about my closet of an office all day, everyday.  But when MS Turd randomly swallowed a chunk of text and regurgitated it, mirror-imaged, ten pages up my .doc, surrounding office personnel fell eerily silent (for once) after I growled angrily and slammed my fist on my desk in response.  From the other side of the wall I hear “What was that?  Is there a monkey loose!?!”  And I thinks: “yeah a big, mean, fur-less one in here having at a computer.  Stay away.”

This was not my first outburst at work.

In one tantrum of boss-induced rage, I landed three barefisted blows into a steel elevator wall.  I was alone.  Or so I thought.  When the elevator door opened, the lady who reads my Tuberculosis test every 6 months found me standing there, panting, with two sets of inflamed knuckles.  She said “uh… I could hear you out here.”  She still got on the elevator with me.

During another impressive display, after another happy meeting with my boss, I made sure to loudly snap open a folded biohazard suit in the airlock adjacent bossman’s office.  Taps on the airlock window followed.  Who could it be?  None other than Tb lady who then said “didn’t you get the email? As of today, you don’t have to wear those anymore”.  I snarled back “well, nobody told me!”  She replied calmly “I’ll forward it you.”

After my in-office outburst, I decided to take a break.  Embarrassed, I timidly crept out when nobody was watching.  Rounding the corner, guess who?  “Fuckabees” I thought to myself.  Tb lady’s path and mine do not cross except for twice-annual test reads and my shit-fits.

I wonder what my future jail cell will look like.